Major Bank Predicts Rise in Silver Price
On Tuesday, August 25, UBS predicted a further increase in the price of gold—despite a recent correction. Interestingly, UBS also predicted a rise in the price of silver. The Swiss-based bank believes silver could hit $50 per ounce in three months. Why? Investors are seeking safe haven in precious metals during the storm in equities and bond markets. Thus investors seem eager to buy gold and buy silver.
The rise in gold has attracted all the media attention. Silver is benefitting from the on gold’s ‘coattails’ and the overall rise in precious metals. Many investors who feel they have missed out on the rally in gold prices are buying silver: instead of taking a risk by shorting gold, they are looking to buy silver.
An Attractive Metal
Outside of jewellery, gold’s uses are few and far between. However, there’s a strong industrial demand for silver. The main reason: it conducts electricity. So technology companies buy silver. Industrial uses account for 40% of silver production. You’ll find silver in everything from plasma TVs to solar batteries and even water purification systems. Two countries that buy silver? India and China. Led by these two countries, total global industrial demand for silver will increase from 487 million ounces to 670 million ounces: an increase of 35%.
Were the Predictions Correct?
On April 12, 2011, Alex Steel of investment website The Street (www.TheStreet.com) canvassed several traders and asked them to predict the price of silver at the end of the year. Who is looking like they’re going to be correct?
Note: the price of silver on August 26, 2011 was $41.13/oz.
- The founder of Silver Investor, David Morgan, predicted silver at $45 an ounce.
- President of Tower Trading, Anthony Neglia, told The Street to expect $50.
- A senior strategist at Lind-Waldock, Phil Streible, predicted $42.
- Great Panther Silver CEO, Bob Archer, predicted $40.
- The CEO of First Majestic Silver, Keith Neumeyer, predicted $50 an ounce.
- Chairman of GFMS, Philip Klapwijk, also predicted $50 an ounce.
With four months left in 2011, the predictions are so far very close to being correct—albeit a little ahead of time. So is now a good time to buy silver?
Nobody can accurately predict the price of silver or any commodity. However, UBS, one of the largest and most prestigious banks in the world, predicted a significant increase. And many prominent silver traders and experts have so far been ‘in the ball park’ about the price of silver since their April predictions. So it’s certainly a good time for the serious investor to look to buy silver as part of their investment portfolio.